---
slug: research-polymarket
title: Checking prediction market odds with Polymarket
category: capability
status: published
tags: [polymarket, prediction-markets, odds, probabilities, market-data, 预测市场, 赔率]
aliases: [prediction-markets, polymarket-odds]
lastEditAt: 2026-04-27
---
**How do I check prediction market odds?**

Tell Astra what event you want to know about — she queries Polymarket's public API for real-time prediction market prices on politics, tech, crypto, science, and more.

**What can I ask?**

- "What are the odds of the Fed cutting rates in June?"
- "What does Polymarket say about the next US election?"
- "Check the probability of Bitcoin reaching $200K this year"
- "What's the market saying about the next Apple product launch?"
- "Show me the prediction market for AI regulation passing this year"

**How does it work?**

Prices on Polymarket represent probability — a price of 0.65 means the market thinks there's a 65% chance. Astra queries the public API (free, no key needed) and returns current prices, trading volume, and market history.

**How to use it in research**

Prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of thousands of traders with real money on the line. Use them to:

- Validate assumptions in market research or competitive analysis
- Track sentiment on AI/tech industry trends
- Monitor geopolitical or regulatory risk for your industry
- Get a data point for strategic planning

> `"Astra, what's the probability of the next GPT model launching before September?"`
> `"Check Polymarket for AI regulation odds this year"`